NCAA Basketball

2018 NCAA Tournament Game Projections

By: Bryan Povlinski on March 12, 2018

As you fill out your bracket for the 2018 NCAA tournament you might get stuck on a few games that you can’t decide on or that seem like virtual toss-ups. Enter the 2018 NCAA Tournament Game Projection Tool. This visualization is designed to help you analyze a particular matchup and see a projected score and the probability the team you’ve selected will win. Here’s how to use the tool: 1. Select the team you’re interested in analyzing in the Selected Team box. 2. If you’re interested in projected scores against any other NCAA tournament team jump down to the Opponent… Read More »

2017 NCAA Tournament Data

By: Bryan Povlinski on March 14, 2017

2018 Version here The 2017 NCAA tournament starts this week, and it’s time to get your bracket picks submitted. To help you make the smartest choices possible I’ve put together a robust set of resources that allow you to analyze this season’s data in Excel format. The tools I’ve included are: 2017-NCAA-Tournament-Bracket This is simply the standard PDF bracket that you can find on any of the major media sites in Excel format. You can track winners as the tournament unfolds. 2017 NCAA Game Results Data The full definition of the dataset is provided on the page above. You’ll get… Read More »

2016 NCAA Tournament Game Projections

By: Bryan Povlinski on March 15, 2016

As you fill out your bracket for the 2016 NCAA tournament you might get stuck on a few games that you can’t decide on or that seem like virtual toss-ups. Enter the 2016 NCAA Tournament Game Projection Tool. This visualization is designed to help you analyze a particular matchup and see a projected score and the probability the team you’ve selected will win. Here’s how to use the tool: 1. Select the team you’re interested in analyzing in the Selected Team box. 2. If you’re interested in projected scores against any other NCAA tournament team jump down to the Opponent… Read More »

2016 NCAA Tournament Data

By: Bryan Povlinski on March 15, 2016

The 2016 NCAA tournament starts this week, and it’s time to get your bracket picks submitted. To help you make the smartest choices possible I’ve put together a robust set of resources that allow you to analyze this season’s data in Excel format. The tools I’ve included are: 2016-NCAA-Tournament-Bracket This is simply the standard PDF bracket that you can find on any of the major media sites in Excel format. You can track winners as the tournament unfolds. 2016 NCAA Game Results Data The full definition of the dataset is provided on the page above. You’ll get the final score… Read More »

2015 NCAA Tournament Game Projections

By: Bryan Povlinski on March 16, 2015

As you fill out your bracket for the 2015 NCAA tournament you might get stuck on a few games that you can’t decide on or that seem like virtual toss-ups. Enter the 2015 NCAA Tournament Game Projection Tool. This visualization is designed to help you analyze a particular matchup and see a projected score and the probability the team you’ve selected will win. Here’s how to use the tool: 1. Select the team you’re interested in analyzing in the Selected Team box. 2. If you’re interested in projected scores against any other NCAA tournament team jump down to the Opponent… Read More »

2015 NCAA Tournament Data

By: Bryan Povlinski on March 16, 2015

2016 Data The 2015 NCAA tournament starts this week, and it’s time to get your bracket picks submitted. To help you make the smartest choices possible I’ve put together a robust set of resources that allow you to analyze this season’s data in Excel format. The tools I’ve included are: 2015-NCAA-Tournament-Bracket This is simply the standard PDF bracket that you can find on any of the major media sites in Excel format. You can track winners as the tournament unfolds. 2015 NCAA Game Results Data The full definition of the dataset is provided on the page above. You’ll get the… Read More »

NCAA Men’s Basketball Game Results Data

By: Bryan Povlinski on January 30, 2015

The full list of NCAA Division 1 game by game results for the current season are now available for download. The file will be updated weekly until the end of the season. The file is stored as an Excel .xlsx file so it’s compatible with Excel 2007 or later. For every game played involving a Division 1 team you will see 2 records in the data set. One with a team listed as “Team” and their opponent listed as “Opponent” and another row for the same game where the “Opponent” is now the “Team” and the “Team” is now the… Read More »

2014 NCAA Tournament Game Projections

By: Bryan Povlinski on March 19, 2014

As you fill out your bracket for the 2014 NCAA tournament you might get stuck on a few games that you can’t decide on or that seem like virtual toss-ups. Enter the 2014 NCAA Tournament Game Projection Tool. This visualization is designed to help you analyze a particular matchup and see a projected score and the probability the team you’ve selected will win. Here’s how to use the tool: 1. Select the team you’re interested in analyzing in the Selected Team box. 2. If you’re interested in projected scores against any other NCAA tournament team jump down to the Opponent… Read More »

2014 NCAA Tournament Data

By: Bryan Povlinski on March 17, 2014

*Update*: 2015 NCAA Tournament Data available here, and 2016 Data The 2014 NCAA tournament starts this week, and it’s time to get your bracket picks submitted. To help you make the smartest choices possible I’ve put together a robust set of resources that allow you to analyze this season’s data in Excel format. The tools I’ve included are: 2014-NCAA-Tournament-Bracket This is simply the standard PDF bracket that you can find on any of the major media sites in Excel format. You can track winners as the tournament unfolds. 2014 NCAA Game Results Data The full definition of the dataset is… Read More »

NCAA Power Rankings

By: Bryan Povlinski on February 20, 2014

Using the NCAA Game Results Data I’ve developed a basic algorithm to rank teams as we get closer to the NCAA tournament. There are 3 primary factors that power the rankings: 1. Scoring Differential 2. Strength of Schedule (average scoring differential of opponents) 3. Winning % Rankings will be updated once per week and you can see the last refresh date directly on the sheet. All feedback is welcome.

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